Moved by a movie

I am not much of a movie person. I am too much of a ‘do something’ person to be able to sit in one place for 90 minutes and watch a movie – unless of course, its something that pertains to planes, airports, flight – aviation in general.

AviatorCast – a podcast on aviation – recently interviewed Brian Terwilliger, a documentary movie maker. The podcast was focused on Brian’s latest production “Living in the Age of Airplanes”. I had heard about the movie back in April, but the movie is only distributed to science centers, museums, IMAX theaters to name a few. Hence it is not generally available in the regular theaters. I waited for it to come to a location in my city.

Today, I headed out to watch the movie. Words cannot describe the various emotions that one goes through upon viewing the movie – and there are too many to even describe. Brian passion for telling a story comes through. His passion for aviation also comes through. Most importantly his ability to conceptualize big ideas comes through. Breathtaking is one way to describe the movie. Its 50 minutes of exhilaration. Well researched and succinctly put together.

In 50 minutes, Brian transports the viewer from beginning of humankind to present-day transportation capability. The movie humbles the viewer.

The script focuses on the machine – more than anything else – and attempts to keep the focus on the significance of the airport.

If you haven’t watched it, please do. Brian has crafted a beautiful message through the movie.The movie’s website is www.theairplanesmovie.com

I am confident that you will enjoy it as much as I did.

CPJ

FAA’s NextGen Program

FAA’s NextGen is a program with a lot of promise. But like every large transformation program, success results out of flawless execution of the plan. Vision is important and it plays an important role. However, history is rife with many examples of great vision and flawed execution. 

FAA’s NextGen definitely has its critics, many of them are in Congress itself. The scale, size and complexity of program leads to high cost. On the other hand, the very same traits make the program hard to qualify and quantify. The measures are hard to define and the metrics are hard even more difficult to communicate. The FAA’s site is increasingly driven to show videos, animations and other material that can tell the taxpayer and/or flyer the implications and benefits of NextGen. The benefits are beginning to accrue (United joins NextGen Data Communications”, 2013). Clearly, current day criticisms are indicative that they are not doing enough to convince the stakeholders (Ashley, 2015; Pianin, 2014). The NextGen program would have been better off being handled as specific initiatives focused on specific benefits. Bundling too much into one program leads to the issues that NextGen is facing. 

The move from traditional Radar-based to air traffic management to GPS-reliance is inevitable. However, the implications for pilots, airlines, flyers, and taxpayers are not small. Prior studies of the USNAS and air traffic related issues in the US have adequately indicated the need for transformation (FAA, 2004; 2007; 2011). In my mind, this transformation is not an option. The criticism that its waste of money is not true. It is much needed and eventually the US will benefit from such a transformation. As to whether the FAA should do a better task of earning value on money spent and fast tracking the program to success is another question. The FAA can, and should, absolutely doing a better job of keeping the program on track and communicating the benefits to relevant stakeholders. 

References – 

Denver International Airport starts new arrival-departures for NextGen. (2013, May 28). Retrieved March 28, 2015 from http://www.denverpost.com/ci_23333350/denver-international-airport-starts-new-arrival-departures-nextgenLinks to an external site.

Federal Aviation Administration. (2004). Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System: An Analysis of Airports and Metropolitan Area Demand and Operational Capacity in the Future. Retrieved from http://www.faa.gov/airports/resources/publications/reports/media/NAS_needs.pdfLinks to an external site.

Federal Aviation Administration. (2007). Capacity Needs in the National Airspace System: An Analysis of Airports and Metropolitan Area Demand and Operational Capacity in 2015 and 2025. Retrieved from http://www.faa.gov/airports/resources/publications/reports/media/fact_2.pdfLinks to an external site.

Federal Aviation Administration. (2011). National Plan of Integrated Airport Systems Report. Retrieved from http://www.faa.gov/airports/planning_capacity/npias/reports/Links to an external site.

Federal Aviation Administration. (2014). NextGen Implementation Plan 2014. Retrieved from https://www.faa.gov/nextgen/library/media/NextGen_Implementation_Plan_2014.pdfLinks to an external site.

Harris: United airlines joins FAA NextGen data communications avionics equipage program. (2013). Travel & Leisure Close – Up, Retrieved from http://search.proquest.com.ezproxy.libproxy.db.erau.edu/docview/1444529303?accountid=27203Links to an external site.

Halsey, A. (2015, May 1). Scathing report: FAA isn’t delivering what was promised in $40 billion project. Retrieved December 18, 2015, from https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/trafficandcommuting/report-says-faa-isnt-delivering-what-was-promised-in-40-billion-project/2015/05/01/81676e6a-eff4-11e4-a55f-38924fca94f9_story.html

Long-Term Market. (n.d.). Retrieved March 21, 2015, from http://www.boeing.com/boeing/commercial/cmo/index.pageLinks to an external site.?

Pianin, E. (2014, November 19). Congress Enraged by the FAA’s $40B White Elephant. Retrieved December 18, 2015, from http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2014/11/19/NextGen-Congress-Enraged-FAA-s-40B-White-ElephantLinks to an external site.

United Airlines Starts NextGen Flight Procedures in Houston. (2014, June 10). Retrieved March 28, 2015, from http://www.aviationtoday.com/av/topstories/United-Airlines-Starts-NextGen-Flight-Procedures-in-Houston_82359.html#.VRbYOikQwhF

Machine Learning & IT Operations

Machine Learning is a much spoken topic nowadays – perhaps more spoken about than available capabilities allow for. There is nothing new about machine learning, neural networks, or artificial intelligence. These concepts have existed for a while with early discoveries in the 1700s. Even recently, there was a huge push in research in AI/ML in 70s and 80s.

The last 5-7 years have witnessed an upsurge in activity in this realm. The reason for this increase in discussion and action is primarily the rapid decrease in compute costs, increase in compute efficiencies and tool that allow for simple, relatively non-programmatic approaches to get these insights.

Insights have driven operations for a long time now. At one point, such action was purely reactive. Then it slowly moved towards being pre-emptive. And now it trending towards being predictive. Not every situation requires or will benefit from predictive insights. While insights must be actionable, not all need predictive traits. And even when predictive, how far predictive is another question all together. While technology groups are being asked to play a role in the move to predictive insights, the percentage of technology organizations that apply such philosophies to their own operations is not all that high. There are few who believe that an organization needs to be of a certain size for it to use prediction capabilities. Others believe that its unaffordable. The reality is that organizations of any size, operations of any scale will benefit for being able to use predictive capabilities.

Technology operations can leverage machine learning techniques generate predictive insights in a variety areas. From predicting where the next alert on their server farm will come to predicting the code from where the next software fault will arise to predicting the set of test cases to use in regression test cycle, technology operations can leverage prediction capabilities. The pre-requisite is that heuristics exist, can be funneled to a data container where insights can be distilled from. Of course, an important element is that the organization carries data science skills in its human resource base. The lack today is more around the skills area than any other. The lack is also around leaders and managers having the vision to stretch themselves and their employees to think differently than in the past.

For those of us to remember, it took years for our software developers (formerly generally called programmers) to move from procedural code to object oriented thinking. For decades, we would find procedural code being written inside of object methods. I wont say that this has gone away completely. I still see literally 100s of lines of code written inside of methods which by the very nature of object oriented thinking were meant to be short and sweet, focused and dedicated. Likewise, our leaders and managers mostly still manage operations like we did 20 years ago, despite the availability of tools that can help us do it differently. We still run 100s of test cases just because they are in the suite, even though we know that the likelihood of many of them in finding a defect is low to none. We still suffer what is known as ‘alert fatigue’ – which then leads to a real alert actually being missed. We still wait for the problem to occur before we can even begin to prepare for it.

Machine learning is a compelling tool. If leveraged in simple and effective ways, it can lead to cost optimization, effort optimization, focus optimization and in the end make for happier technology employees… and of course happier customers.

CP Jois

Analytics

The topic of analytics is all over the industry today somewhat bordering on overuse. It no more surprises me to hear of organizations wanting to be in the analytics realm when, quite honestly, they can’t even keep their databases up and running. Having lofty goals or aspiring for value additive outcomes is not a bad thing. However, to believe that one can run a marathon when a mile seems to much to keep up with is no more a question of being unrealistic, it is far beyond that.
There are many simple prerequisites to this aspiration.
Firstly, data is only valuable when it can be transformed to information. Information that is meaningful; that can lead to intelligence; taking that further, actionable intelligence.
Analytics only becomes a factor of discussion when actionable intelligence can be leveraged to preempt action. Seeking more about what we know can lead to preemptive action – predictive analytics. On the other hand, mining for patterns in volumes of information leads to Pattern based analytics – this leads to knowing more what didn’t know could have even been found.
Data when put through the stages of acquisition, aggregation, curation and dissemination leads to very compelling decision capabilities.
However getting there takes a series of ‘readiness’ activities – steps that many seeking this value are not willing to invest their time or effort into. In my mind there is short cut to this process. It is the price of reliable action-worthy intelligence – it has to be paid.

CP Jois

Electric flight becoming reality

Each day we see new advances being made in electric flight. Improvements are seen in scale, size and endurance.

Today, we have another milestone with the electric Cri-Cri project crossing the English Channel. This comes one day in advance of Airbus’ e-fan flight. Pilot Hughues Duval flew the Cri-Cri across the English Channel from Dover,UK to Calais,France at 81 knots and covered the distance in 36 minutes.

electric-planes-fly-over-english-channel

More about the electric plane here

CPJ

Fokker D VII

Here is an ARF built Fokker D VII. Really well built. Nicely detailed. Equipped with a decently sized engine, the model flew real nice. First introduced around the April of 1918, 800+ aircraft were built.

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Here is a nice page on role of Fokker aircraft during World War I – http://www.wwiaviation.com/fokker.html

CPJ

Piper Cub

The Piper Cubs are a common sight at the RC field. They are also a part of the model inventory of most RC modelers. Here is a picture of a well built Cub at the field this morning. The owner of this model also flies real-world Cubs and flew this model real scale.

CPJ

Model warbirds at the field…

There were many warbirds at the RC field this morning. Some of them are featured in the picture below. Spitfires, Mustangs, P-51… and more. The level of detail in some of these scale aircraft is striking. The pilot figures, gauges… even the rivets are detailed out. Its a joy just looking at these models. The effort put into building them shows on them. Not to mention the gasoline engines that power these war era favorites.

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CP Jois

The G1000 experience

Last week, I had the opportunity to fly the Diamond DA-40 airplane. The plane was similar and different from the airplane I fly regularly – the Piper Archer II. Most different was the move from steam gauges to a glass cockpit. This is more of a mindset shift. The Garmin 1000, G1000 as it is typically called, is a fabulous innovation. I have used it before on simulators but this was the first time I had used it in real-world aviation.

Being a technologist, I am throughly impressed by what it offers. I also think that in a typical flight, one perhaps uses a tenth of what the G1000 can do. The increase in situational awareness is tenfold. Between cohesive situational awareness, traffic warnings, NexRad radar, NAV overlays…and a lot more, the AHRS is a superior form of addressing safety in the 3 dimensional space of aviation.
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All this said, G1000 is also not for someone to simply get into one day and go out flying while learning it on the fly. The G1000 is not another set of gauges. Its a mindset shift. You read and absorb information differently. You assimilate and act differently. It is NOT merely a set of traditional gauges put on a glass interface. It can be cause overwhelm if not treated with respect. Its easy to get caught up in using the knobs and trying to skim through the various pages on the G1000 while in flight. Training for using it is important. The instrumentation is very different. It is easy to see the impact such technology bears on human factors.

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All that said, one does goes through a set of mixed feelings when making this shift to glass interfaces. Flying the Diamond, I somewhat missed the old fashioned 6-pack gauges that essentially inspired my love for airplanes. I worry that some day all airplanes will be fitted with these glass displays and the old gauges will be gone forever. Those gauges speak a story – the story describing the historic evolution of aviation. Would never want to lose them….

CPJ

Simulators – Motion Platforms

For many years now, the concept of having a motion platform for hobby simulators has been on my mind. A couple of months ago, I began on this journey. Of course I didnt want to dive into building a full-scale one right away. I thought a prototype would be a good idea.

The video below shows my first gen prototype in action. A lot more work to do, however the basic concept has begun to take shape.

CP Jois

Curtiss Jenny – a legend restored

The Curtiss Jenny served as a trainer for over 95% of the WWI pilots. It was first put into production in 1915. They also were the early choice for mail delivery. Many of these were sold in the post war market for very little.

I came across a very nice story of one of these planes that went through a restoration recently. Dorian Walker, a filmmaker by profession, got associated with the restoration of a Curtiss Jenny by virtue of being in the right place at the right time. Of course, his decision turned out to be more valuable than he would have ever thought at that moment in time. The story in EAA’s Sport Aviation magazine is an inspiration to aviators. Historic aircraft have a special place. The Jenny, as it was called in the US, is a forerunner in its league. With a 6500 foot ceiling, a 90hp motor and a top speed of 75 mph, the aircraft did wonders. Read the story in EAA’s June 2015 edition. More on this project found at ‘Friends of Jenny’ website

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An interesting piece of trivia – the Jenny had no brakes nor a tailskid. It had tip skids that helped minimize the impact on touchdown.

CPJ

Aviation Podcast

I recently came across this interesting aviation podcast channel – AviatorCast. I found it very interesting and heard one of the episodes recently. I have been hooked since then. You can find this one on iTunes and SoundCloud.

There have been, and still are, many podcasts on aviation. However, there are very few that sustain over time.  This one is over a year old. Chris is the founder of Angle of Attack, most known for their rich training content.  The thing I find different about this show is the variety of topics, speakers, guests, and the relevance of updates. I am even more enthused by the fact that they have been able to sustain the show for well over a year.

Chris is a fine host, posing specific, relevant questions. Many times now, I have found him asking the guest the exact question that was on my mind at that point in the conversation.

Here is a link to their site – http://www.aviatorcast.com

Hope you enjoy the show as much as I do.

CP Jois